{
 "sport": "mls",
 "fitted_at": "2026-08-21",
 "seasons": [
  2025,
  2026
 ],
 "n_games": 596,
 "r2": 0.0221,
 "rmse": 1.801,
 "league_total": 3.164,
 "features": [
  "h_gf",
  "h_ga",
  "a_gf",
  "a_ga"
 ],
 "coef": {
  "intercept": 1.7799,
  "h_gf": 0.5603,
  "h_ga": 0.0624,
  "a_gf": -0.0469,
  "a_ga": 0.3551
 },
 "stderr": {
  "intercept": 0.5784,
  "h_gf": 0.1899,
  "h_ga": 0.1888,
  "a_gf": 0.1844,
  "a_ga": 0.1914
 },
 "thresholds": {
  "chip": 0.212,
  "heavy": 0.613
 },
 "note": "lean = 2 x (predicted total - league average total), so the units match the old hand-stacked lean. Gates recalibrated to preserve selectivity."
}